13 Comments

Great article! I would be interested to know in which sector there are the most 100-bagger.

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They come and go in all kinds of sectors. But if I had to choose, it needs to be a business model that can scale easily, and that has been software in the past...

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Thank you for this great summary with guiding treshholds!

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With pleasure!

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Great work

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Thank you Sir!

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Ok having done a 228 bagger and a 63 bagger look at my pick at 10p buying price (now 17P ) SBTX.

Why.?

A new green bio and sustainable anti ageing skin cream ingredient is about to be launched by CRODA ( FTSE 100 ) to replace today’s chemical based Matrixyl.

Croda are the largest supplier of anti ageing ingredients worldwide. Matrixyl sales run at £350 a year.

Tiny SBTX, ( who own the IP ) pick up double digit revenues for the new product. ( 100 % clear profit )

SBTX market cap £40M, could make that annually if the new product take up rate is rapid. ( Croda are leading the cosmetics industry going green. )

Shares are very simple, just find any company that can grow super fast revenues , profits, and then dividends

Good luck

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Net margin is 100% because SBTX says it will be cash flow positive from other parts of the business , thus the overhead base is covered.

That net margin could well be 13.5% of Croda sales

Put another way, profits could = today’s market cap in a very few short years.

£350M X 13.5%

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Thanks for sharing. I'll take a look in the coming weeks

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Rule of Log Baggers:

to replace rule of 72

i.

T

= Log [ baggers × (1 - MOS) ] ÷ Log [ (1 + Cagr) × (1 + DY) ÷ (1 - SBB) ]

T

= number of years required for the intended baggers

Cagr

= Growth Rate Ratio

DY

= Dividend Yield Ratio, Fully Reinvested at Intrinsic Value

SBB

= Share Buy Back Ratio, at Intrinsic Value

ii. If MOS, DY and SBB 0%,

T

= Log [ Baggers ] ÷ Log [ 1 + Cagr ]

Example:

T

= Log [ baggers × (1 - MOS) ] ÷ Log [ (1 + Cagr) × (1 + DY) ÷ (1 - SBB) ]

= Log [ 100 × (1 - 0.25) ] ÷ Log [ (1 + 0.15) × (1 + 0.02 ) ÷ (1 - 0.005) ]

= 26.2338309035 Years

If MOS, DY and SBB 0%,

T

= Log [ Baggers ] ÷ Log [ 1 + Cagr ]

= Log [ 100 ] ÷ Log [ 1 + 0.15 ]

= 32.9501014921 Years

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Hi Kevin, I reread the checklist, it is really great: what is your source to find the number of analyst? What is your source to compare to the market and how to find the right market to compare?

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Feb 8, 2024Edited
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No problem. Thanks for the comment. I may update the checklist in the coming months.

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Feb 8, 2024
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Never heard of that book. I'm adding it to my reading list. Thanks!

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